Understanding Risk-Reward Ratio
Risk-Reward Ratio is one of the most important concepts in trading and investing. It measures how much profit you can potentially make relative to how much you could lose on a trade. Professional traders never enter a trade without calculating this ratio first.
How to Calculate Risk-Reward Ratio
The formula is simple:
Risk-Reward Ratio = Potential Profit / Potential LossWhere:
- Potential Profit = Target Price - Entry Price
- Potential Loss = Entry Price - Stop Loss Price
Example Calculation
Let's say you want to buy a stock:
- Entry Price: ₹100
- Target Price: ₹130
- Stop Loss: ₹92
Potential Profit: ₹130 - ₹100 = ₹30
Potential Loss: ₹100 - ₹92 = ₹8
Risk-Reward Ratio: ₹30 / ₹8 = 3.75 or 1:3.75
This means you're risking ₹8 to potentially make ₹30 - an excellent ratio!
What is a Good Risk-Reward Ratio?
| Ratio | Assessment | Breakeven Win Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Below 1:1.5 | ❌ Avoid | > 40% |
| 1:1.5 to 1:2 | ⚠ Below Average | 33-40% |
| 1:2 to 1:3 | ✓ Good | 25-33% |
| Above 1:3 | ✓✓ Excellent | < 25% |
Professional Standard
Understanding Breakeven Win Rate
Breakeven win rate is the minimum percentage of trades you must win to not lose money:
Breakeven Win Rate = Risk / (Risk + Reward) × 100Example: For a 1:2 risk-reward ratio:
Breakeven Win Rate = 1 / (1 + 2) × 100 = 33.3%
This means you only need to win 33.3% of your trades (1 out of 3) to break even. Win more than 33.3%, and you're profitable!
Why Risk-Reward Matters More Than Win Rate
Many beginners focus on win rate, but risk-reward is more important. Consider these two traders:
Trader A: High Win Rate, Poor Risk-Reward
- Win Rate: 70% (7 winning trades out of 10)
- Risk-Reward: 1:0.5 (risks ₹1,000 to make ₹500)
- Result: 7 wins × ₹500 = ₹3,500 profit | 3 losses × ₹1,000 = ₹3,000 loss
- Net Profit: ₹500 (barely profitable)
Trader B: Lower Win Rate, Good Risk-Reward
- Win Rate: 40% (4 winning trades out of 10)
- Risk-Reward: 1:3 (risks ₹1,000 to make ₹3,000)
- Result: 4 wins × ₹3,000 = ₹12,000 profit | 6 losses × ₹1,000 = ₹6,000 loss
- Net Profit: ₹6,000 (12x more than Trader A!)
Key Insight
How to Set Stop Loss and Target
Setting Stop Loss
- Technical Support: Below key support levels or recent lows
- Percentage Method: 2-3% below entry for swing trades, 5-8% for investments
- Volatility-Based: Use ATR (Average True Range) for volatile stocks
- Pattern-Based: Below breakout point or trendline
Setting Target
- Technical Resistance: Previous highs, resistance levels
- Measured Move: Project the height of pattern upward
- Multiple Targets: Book partial profits at 1:2, trail rest for 1:4+
- Round Numbers: Stocks often face resistance at psychological levels
Risk Management Rules
- Never Risk More Than 2%: Don't risk more than 2% of capital per trade
- Set Stop Loss First: Before entering, know your exit if wrong
- Position Sizing: Adjust position size based on stop loss distance
- Minimum 1:2 Ratio: Never take trades with ratio below 1:2
- Honor Your Stop Loss: Don't move it further away when hit
- Asymmetric Bets: Look for trades where reward is much higher than risk
Position Sizing Example
Let's calculate position size with proper risk management:
- Account Size: ₹5,00,000
- Risk Per Trade: 2% = ₹10,000
- Entry Price: ₹200
- Stop Loss: ₹190
- Risk Per Share: ₹10
Position Size = Risk Amount / Risk Per Share
Position Size = ₹10,000 / ₹10 = 1,000 shares
Total Investment = 1,000 × ₹200 = ₹2,00,000
Even though this requires ₹2 lakhs, you're only risking ₹10,000 (2% of capital) because of your stop loss. This is how professionals size positions.
Common Mistakes to Avoid
- Trading Without Stop Loss: Recipe for disaster, one bad trade wipes out account
- Moving Stop Loss Away: Violates your original risk-reward calculation
- Taking Low Ratios: Need unrealistic 60-70% win rate to be profitable
- Ignoring Risk Amount: Focusing only on potential profit
- Oversizing Positions: Taking too large positions without considering risk
- No Consistent Approach: Randomly setting stops and targets
Advanced Risk-Reward Strategies
Scaling Out
Book partial profits at 1:2, then trail stop loss for remaining position to capture 1:4, 1:6 or more.
Risk-Free Trade
Once price reaches 1:2, move stop loss to entry price. Now you can't lose money even if trade reverses.
Trailing Stop Loss
After target is hit, trail stop loss below each new swing low to capture extended moves.